Trends/Fibonacci and harmonic patterns

Fibonacci channel

A trendline with parallel lines above it at Fibonacci fractions of a chosen width.

Fibonacci and harmonic patternsBest on 6M, 1Y, 3YAlso called Fib channel
Fibonacci channel diagramIllustration of the Fibonacci channel shape. It is a sketch, not real price data.0%38.2%61.8%100%161.8%
Illustration of the Fibonacci channel shape. It is a sketch, not real price data.

What it shows

A Fibonacci channel starts with a trendline and a second point that sets the width. Parallel lines are drawn at 38.2%, 61.8%, 100% and 161.8% of that width.

It is a way to mark several possible resistance lines in a trend. The extra lines are conventions.

How we find it

The same code that draws it on your chart follows these steps, with the same result every time.

  1. Draw a trendline through two swing lows.
  2. Set the width as the distance to the farthest swing high between them.
  3. Draw parallel lines at 38.2%, 61.8%, 100% and 161.8% of that width above the base line.
  4. Extend to the right.

Starting values: Levels 38.2, 61.8, 100, 161.8%; Base line through two swing lows. These are proposed and will be tuned on real price data before launch.

How to read it

  • The base line is in cyan with a darker tone.
  • The 100% line is the usual channel top.
  • Lines above 100% show where price would be if it kept going.

Status labels you may see

LabelWhat it means
Below 38.2%In the lower part of the channel.
Between 38.2% and 100%In the main part.
Above 100%Above the usual top of the channel.

What cancels it

A close below the base line.

What traders check next

  • Which of the lines price turned near.
  • Whether the base line has more than two touches.
  • Whether the slope changes on a different period.

Limits

  • The width depends on one swing high.
  • Lines other than the base and the 100% line are conventions.
  • Many lines make coincidences easy.

Try it in forecastviz

  • Open any ticker and choose Fibonacci and harmonic patterns → Fibonacci channel in the left menu.
  • Switch between 6M, 1Y, 3Y to see how the picture changes.
  • Compare with Parallel channel from pivots and Ascending channel on the same chart.

Questions

How is it different from a parallel channel?

A parallel channel has two lines. A Fibonacci channel adds interior and outer lines.

Does it work on falling trends?

Yes, mirrored.

Related trends

Further reading

  • Boroden, Fibonacci Trading
  • Carney, Harmonic Trading
  • Murphy, Technical Analysis of the Financial Markets

Educational only. Not financial advice, and not a price forecast. Charts are drawn by code from past price data, which may be delayed.