Trends/Relative strength, cycles and structure

Earnings run-up

The stock's average return in the days before past earnings reports.

Relative strength, cycles and structureBest on 3Y, 5YAlso called pre-earnings drift

Illustration of the earnings run-up shape. It is a sketch, not real price data.

What it shows

Some stocks have tended to move in the days before they report earnings. This view takes the last 12 earnings dates and shows the average cumulative return from 10 days before to the day of the report.

It describes the stock's history. Earnings results can move a stock in either direction.

How we find it

The same code that draws it on your chart follows these steps, with the same result every time.

Collect past earnings dates.
For each, compute the return from day −10 to day 0.
Average the paths.
Plot the average path and the spread.

Starting values: Window 10 days before; Reports last 12. These are proposed and will be tuned on real price data before launch.

How to read it

The line is the average path.
Day 0 is the report.
The band shows the spread across reports.

Status labels you may see

Label	What it means
Usually up	Positive in 70% or more of reports.
Usually down	Positive in 30% or fewer.
Mixed	In between.

What cancels it

Nothing cancels it.

What traders check next

Spread across reports.
Market moves in the same days.
Surprise sizes.

Limits

Only 12 reports.
Averages hide wide variation.
Dates shift.

Try it in forecastviz

Open any ticker and choose Relative strength, cycles and structure → Earnings run-up in the left menu.
Switch between 3Y, 5Y to see how the picture changes.
Compare with Monthly seasonality and Volume spike on the same chart.

Open on a ticker

Questions

Does it predict earnings?

No claim.

Why show it?

To see how this stock has behaved before.