Trends/Volatility and bands

Keltner channels

An exponential average with lines above and below it set by the average true range, a measure of how much price moves in a bar.

Volatility and bandsBest on 3M, 6M, 1YAlso called Keltner bands
Keltner channels diagramIllustration of the Keltner channels shape. It is a sketch, not real price data.EMA + 2 ATREMA − 2 ATR
Illustration of the Keltner channels shape. It is a sketch, not real price data.

What it shows

Keltner channels have a middle line (20-bar EMA) and two outer lines set at 2 times the 10-bar average true range above and below it. Average true range (ATR) is the average size of a bar's range, including gaps.

Unlike Bollinger bands, which use standard deviation, Keltner channels use bar range. They are usually smoother.

How we find it

The same code that draws it on your chart follows these steps, with the same result every time.

  1. Compute the 20-bar EMA of the close (middle).
  2. Compute the 10-bar ATR.
  3. Upper line = EMA + 2 × ATR.
  4. Lower line = EMA − 2 × ATR.

Starting values: EMA 20; ATR 10; Multiplier 2. These are proposed and will be tuned on real price data before launch.

How to read it

  • The gray line is the EMA. Blue lines are the channel edges.
  • The channel is smoother than Bollinger bands.
  • Price outside the channel is farther from its average than 2 average bar ranges.

Status labels you may see

LabelWhat it means
Inside the channelClose is between the lines.
Above the channelClose is above the upper line.
Below the channelClose is below the lower line.

What cancels it

Nothing cancels it.

What traders check next

  • How often price touches the edges.
  • Whether Bollinger bands are inside the channel (a squeeze by some definitions).
  • The slope of the middle line.

Limits

  • The multiplier of 2 is a convention.
  • Versions differ in how they compute the middle line.
  • It lags.

Try it in forecastviz

  • Open any ticker and choose Volatility and bands → Keltner channels in the left menu.
  • Switch between 3M, 6M, 1Y to see how the picture changes.
  • Compare with Bollinger bands and ATR bands on the same chart.

Questions

How is it different from Bollinger bands?

The width comes from average bar range instead of standard deviation.

Why use ATR?

It includes gaps, so it shows the true size of moves.

Related trends

Further reading

  • Bollinger, Bollinger on Bollinger Bands
  • Wilder, New Concepts in Technical Trading Systems
  • Murphy, Technical Analysis of the Financial Markets

Educational only. Not financial advice, and not a price forecast. Charts are drawn by code from past price data, which may be delayed.