Trends/Continuation patterns

Flag after a fall

A sharp fall followed by a short, slightly upward drift inside two parallel lines, like a flag on a pole.

Continuation patternsBest on 3M, 6M, 1YAlso called bear flag
Flag after a fall diagramIllustration of the flag after a fall shape. It is a sketch, not real price data.PoleFlag
Illustration of the flag after a fall shape. It is a sketch, not real price data.

What it shows

A flag has two parts. The pole is a fast, steep move down. The flag is a short pause where price drifts up against the pole inside a small parallel channel.

The pattern is complete when price closes below the lower line of the flag. Until then it is just a pause.

How we find it

The same code that draws it on your chart follows these steps, with the same result every time.

  1. Find a pole: a fall of at least 15% in 20 bars or fewer.
  2. Find a flag after it: 5 to 20 bars where price stays inside a channel sloping up by less than half of the pole.
  3. Draw two parallel lines through the highs and lows of the flag.
  4. Mark complete when a close falls below the lower line.

Starting values: Pole size 15% in 20 bars; Flag length 5 to 20 bars; Flag depth under 50% of the pole. These are proposed and will be tuned on real price data before launch.

How to read it

  • The steep part is the pole.
  • The two parallel lines are the flag.
  • The gold dot is the first close below the flag.

Status labels you may see

LabelWhat it means
Flag formingPrice is inside the flag lines.
Broken downClosed below the lower line.
Broken upClosed above the upper line.

What cancels it

A close above the flag's upper line, or a retrace of more than half of the pole.

What traders check next

  • Volume inside the flag and at the break.
  • The length of the flag compared with the pole.
  • Whether the break closes below or only wicks.

Limits

  • Many pauses look like flags.
  • The size rules are our own choices.
  • A break can fail.

Try it in forecastviz

  • Open any ticker and choose Continuation patterns → Flag after a fall in the left menu.
  • Switch between 3M, 6M, 1Y to see how the picture changes.
  • Compare with Flag after a rise and Pennant after a fall on the same chart.

Questions

Why is it called a bear flag?

It is the common name for a flag after a fall. It is a naming convention, not a forecast.

Is it the mirror image of the other flag?

Yes.

Related trends

Further reading

  • Edwards and Magee, Technical Analysis of Stock Trends
  • Bulkowski, Encyclopedia of Chart Patterns
  • O'Neil, How to Make Money in Stocks

Educational only. Not financial advice, and not a price forecast. Charts are drawn by code from past price data, which may be delayed.