Trends/Gaps and breakouts

Failed breakdown

Price closes below support, then closes back above within a few bars.

Gaps and breakoutsBest on 3M, 6MAlso called bear trap, spring
Failed breakdown diagramIllustration of the failed breakdown shape. It is a sketch, not real price data.Failed closeSupport
Illustration of the failed breakdown shape. It is a sketch, not real price data.

What it shows

A failed breakdown is the downside version of a false breakout. Price closes below a support level, but within 3 bars it closes back above.

In the Wyckoff method this is called a spring when it comes at the end of a range.

How we find it

The same code that draws it on your chart follows these steps, with the same result every time.

  1. Find a support level, such as a 40-bar low.
  2. A close below by at least 0.5%.
  3. A close back above within 3 bars.
  4. Mark the failed close.

Starting values: Level 40-bar low; Margin 0.5%; Return within 3 bars. These are proposed and will be tuned on real price data before launch.

How to read it

  • The dashed line is support.
  • Price dipped below it and closed back above.
  • The gold dot marks the failed close.

Status labels you may see

LabelWhat it means
RecentA failed breakdown in the last 10 bars.
Break holdingBelow the level, within 3 bars.
NoneNone found.

What cancels it

Applies once price is back above.

What traders check next

  • Volume on the dip.
  • Whether support is retested.
  • Size of the move.

Limits

  • Defined after the fact.
  • Margins are choices.
  • Many dips continue.

Try it in forecastviz

  • Open any ticker and choose Gaps and breakouts → Failed breakdown in the left menu.
  • Switch between 3M, 6M to see how the picture changes.
  • Compare with False breakout and Horizontal support on the same chart.

Questions

What is a spring?

A failed breakdown at the end of a base, in Wyckoff's terms.

Is it a Buy signal?

No.

Related trends

Further reading

  • Edwards and Magee, Technical Analysis of Stock Trends
  • Bulkowski, Encyclopedia of Chart Patterns
  • Murphy, Technical Analysis of the Financial Markets
  • Crabel, Day Trading with Short Term Price Patterns

Educational only. Not financial advice, and not a price forecast. Charts are drawn by code from past price data, which may be delayed.