Trends/Moving averages

Death cross

The 50-day average moving from above the 200-day average to below it.

Moving averagesBest on 3Y, 5Y, 10YAlso called 50/200 cross down
Death cross diagramIllustration of the death cross shape. It is a sketch, not real price data.Death cross50-day200-day
Illustration of the death cross shape. It is a sketch, not real price data.

What it shows

A death cross is when the 50-day average crosses below the 200-day average. It tells you the recent average price has moved below the long-term average.

The name is a convention. It is a fact about two lines, and because they lag, the cross comes after price has already fallen.

How we find it

The same code that draws it on your chart follows these steps, with the same result every time.

  1. Compute the 50-day and 200-day SMA of the close.
  2. Find the bar where the 50 moves from above the 200 to below it.
  3. Mark it on the chart.
  4. Show the date and the price.

Starting values: Short 50; Long 200. These are proposed and will be tuned on real price data before launch.

How to read it

  • The blue line is the 50 and the gold line is the 200.
  • The gold dot is the cross.
  • The distance between the lines shows how far apart the averages are.

Status labels you may see

LabelWhat it means
50 below 200The 50-day average is below the 200-day.
Just crossedA death cross occurred in the last 10 bars.
No cross in rangeNo cross in the period shown.

What cancels it

A golden cross, which is the reverse.

What traders check next

  • Price relative to both averages.
  • How long ago the cross was.
  • The slope of the 200-day.

Limits

  • The 200-day needs at least 200 bars, so short periods have no cross.
  • It lags price by a long way.
  • Crosses can reverse quickly.

Try it in forecastviz

  • Open any ticker and choose Moving averages → Death cross in the left menu.
  • Switch between 3Y, 5Y, 10Y to see how the picture changes.
  • Compare with Golden cross and 20 and 50 average crossover on the same chart.

Questions

Is a death cross bad news?

The name sounds negative, but it is a description of two averages. We make no claim.

Why 50 and 200?

They are widely used, so many traders watch them.

Related trends

Further reading

  • Murphy, Technical Analysis of the Financial Markets
  • Kaufman, Trading Systems and Methods
  • Achelis, Technical Analysis from A to Z

Educational only. Not financial advice, and not a price forecast. Charts are drawn by code from past price data, which may be delayed.