Trends/Fibonacci and harmonic patterns

Butterfly pattern

A five-point shape where B retraces 78.6% of the first leg and D extends beyond the start, to 127.2% of XA.

Fibonacci and harmonic patternsBest on 6M, 1Y, 3YAlso called Butterfly harmonic
Butterfly pattern diagramIllustration of the Butterfly pattern shape. It is a sketch, not real price data.XABCD127.2% of XA
Illustration of the Butterfly pattern shape. It is a sketch, not real price data.

What it shows

The Butterfly was defined by Bryce Gilmore. Its B is deep at 78.6% of XA. D goes past X, reaching 127.2% of XA.

That makes it the first of the harmonic patterns where D goes beyond the starting point.

How we find it

The same code that draws it on your chart follows these steps, with the same result every time.

  1. Find five alternating swing points X, A, B, C, D.
  2. B must be 78.6% of XA.
  3. C must be 38.2% to 88.6% of AB.
  4. D must be 127.2% of XA (±5%).

Starting values: Ratio tolerance ±5%; B 78.6% of XA; D 127.2% of XA. These are proposed and will be tuned on real price data before launch.

How to read it

  • B is deep and D goes beyond X.
  • Dots are the five points.
  • Dashed lines show the ratio triangles.

Status labels you may see

LabelWhat it means
Pattern formingPoints X through C match, D has not been reached.
Pattern completeD matches the ratio rule.

What cancels it

A close well beyond D (more than 5% past it).

What traders check next

  • How far D went past X.
  • What happened at D.
  • Whether other levels agree with D.

Limits

  • D beyond X means the pattern is easy to fail.
  • Tolerance lets many shapes qualify.
  • Rarely tested in research.

Try it in forecastviz

  • Open any ticker and choose Fibonacci and harmonic patterns → Butterfly pattern in the left menu.
  • Switch between 6M, 1Y, 3Y to see how the picture changes.
  • Compare with Gartley pattern and Bat pattern on the same chart.

Questions

Why Butterfly?

The shape looks like wings. It is a name.

Is there a downward version?

Yes, the mirror image.

Related trends

Further reading

  • Boroden, Fibonacci Trading
  • Carney, Harmonic Trading
  • Murphy, Technical Analysis of the Financial Markets

Educational only. Not financial advice, and not a price forecast. Charts are drawn by code from past price data, which may be delayed.